Biden is a placeholder.
To put the outcome of the race on Biden is about as blindly stupid as claiming authoritarianism doesn't exist in the U.S. Both force attention in the wrong direction.
The first misdirection is on a candidate who has ZERO control of outcomes (no one does, but all this analytical masturbation on the part of mostly white males makes it seem like we do).
And the latter claim--that all the yelling about authoritarianism is hyperbole--simply avoids the obvious in the hope it will...fade.
What's happening electorally in the U.S. has never happened before, and using silly horseracing frames does nothing to address the serious trouble we're heading toward.